NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte raced across the Atlantic to salvage the war with Russia on Ukrainian soil. He shook hands with a line-up of Pentagon officials, and spoke briefly with Trump. No cozy press-briefing side by side afterwards, just Rutte claiming that NATO was united in its assessment …
Blog Posts
Ukraine rejects Trump's Peace Deal?
The latest news regarding the Trump Peace Plan, is that Zelensky rejected it out of hand. The British newspaper ‘Independent’ published the story, which claimed that today the Americans, Rubio and Witkoff, were to present the plan to the representatives of the ‘Coalition of the Willing’, the U…
What about Trump's upcoming Peace Deal?
The biggest risk when analyzing a war, is hyper-focus. Not seeing the entire picture. Especially when you focus on the wrong things, which have no bearing on the outcome. A war ends through negotiations, or when one of the warring parties is defeated, or exhausted. Exhaustion refers to material exha…
A debate between two supporters of Ukraine
As I was sanding and painting a sideboard, I listened to a video produced by Willy OAM, a pro-Ukrainian realist analyst, debating Drew Pavlou, a ‘hard core’ activist pushing the ‘case’ for Ukraine. The reason for this debate was an on-line confrontation between the two which became somewhat ‘…
Let's be brutally honest
To analyse a situation as the war in Ukraine requires knowledge nobody I know has. Even if someone has impeccable sources from one side of the fence, that almost guarantees that he has none from the other side, even if he is interested. I do my best to check out what all those sources are saying. Fi…
Does decaptitation of a country or group serve any purpose?
As I mentioned yesterday, the strike in Sumy was targeted at a military brigade which got together in that Ukrainian town to celebrate, and be honored. A yet unknown number of soldiers died, together with over thirty civilians. Ukraine and their Western propagandists initially denied that the missil…
A position of strength
Until very recently Ukraine, supported by NATO, which included the US under Biden, told everybody who cared to ask why they wouldn’t talk to the Russians about a cease fire, that a cease fire would only benefit Russia. It would provide Russia with breathing space needed to rearm and regroup. Therefo…
Maybe, maybe not
Two different ‘envoys’ from the US speaking different languages when it comes to what the US has to offer Ukraine. Steve Witkoff is essentially saying that Ukraine is out of options, and their only realistic choice is to settle with the Russians, basically on their terms, before things get even wo…
Patterns in the mist of time
Order is not a natural state of affairs. We humans create order out of chaos, because we can’t handle an environment with nothing but variables and uncertainty. Yet too much order and no individual choices, or not enough freedom, rubs us the wrong way too. Trump clearly is an ‘Agent of Chaos’ in…