Ukraine is struggling to survive, not to win. According to the ‘Economist’, one of the many Western publications which are coming around to what I, and various other commentators, have been saying for close to three years now. Brian Berletic highlights the shift in his latest video. But there are still lots of publications cheering for NATO and their proxy which insist that Russia is on the verge of total collapse. It is important to *know*, and admittedly I have no way to *know* all the relevant facts. So how can I be confident about the outcome?
If Rutte claims that Russia lost 600.000 soldiers, while ‘Mediazona’ and the BBC are stating that it is closer to 80.000, and that losses are coming down, not going up, who is telling the truth? And how about ‘our’ losses? To talk about ‘our’ losses is disingenuous, even revulsive if you are not a Ukrainian, and I’m not, since the bulk of the people who are dying on ‘our’ side of the war, are Ukrainians. Even though there are scores of NATO-trained ‘mercenaries’ active in Ukraine. The money for those ‘mercenaries’ is coming from NATO-countries. And this week a group consisting of at least one American and some Canadians, positively identified, were killed on Russian soil, apparently carrying the flags of the countries they represent, but supplied with a Ukrainian passport. Who is planning their missions?
To talk about ‘our’ guys in this respect only indicates that we are involved far beyond supplying weapons. NATO is driving this thing, and has been from before the war broke out in February 2022. This is ‘our baby’. Even though many in Europe, and in the other NATO countries, were badly ‘under the influence’ when they infused Ukraine with their seed, and will flat-out deny responsibility for this monster-on-life-support they created. A monster that will devour Ukraine, and most of its people one way or the other, since ‘we’ know no mercy. ‘We’ insist that the Ukrainians *want* to die for a chance to bring their country into NATO sometime in the distant future. Even as there is no lack of proof that the people are fed up with this war, and actively resist, and are deserting.
Back in 2022 I had no way of *knowing* that Russia would prevail. Yet I assumed they would. Why?
If you are embroiled in a conflict, the sensible thing to do is to talk to the opposite party, and do your utmost to convince them, him or her of your arguments. If that doesn’t work, you may enter into negotiations with your competitor/adversary to find a compromise both of you will be able to live with. If that doesn’t work, you either flee, or go to war. The Russians tried talking. They called for negotiations and offered propositions, while telling NATO that if that failed, war was likely to erupt if NATO blindly pushed on. If you are threatening the other with war, you’d better make sure that you will be able to win it. And Putin, for one, is *way* too serious to simply risk it, or allow himself to be dragged into something unable to see the end of it.
Based on that principle, and aware of his desire to be seen as the protector of ‘Russian Culture’, while considering the ambitions of ‘BRICS’ to create a ‘New Silk Route’, traversing the EurAsian continent, I figured Putin would take all of the ‘Culturally Russian’ Oblasts in the East and South, if forced to go to war, including Odessa. But stay away from conquering all of Ukraine, exhausting Russia fighting the ‘Banderites’ in the country. I wrote about that scenario even before the ‘SMO’ kicked off.
It is important to understand that it is absolutely irrelevant how ‘we’ feel about the things Russia identifies as a threat. If ‘we’ won’t talk, refuse to negotiate, and war erupts, 'we' haven’t been paying attention if ‘we’ get our asses whipped. Now, rewind. The Russians kick off their ‘SMO’ in February 2022, after warning that it would come to that for *years*. I maintain that NATO did see that one coming from the very moment Putin told the ‘Security Conference’ in Munich in 2007 what was bothering him, and that he was looking for ways to avoid war. For fifteen years NATO prepared for that moment in 2022, and ordered the ‘Rand Corporation’ to write the script, which was aimed at forcing regime change on Russia.
So, the Russians had a strategy, based on ‘projecting military power’ on Zelensky, ‘Kiev’, to scare him into accepting the terms of the ‘Minsk Agreement’, while the ‘Collective West’ regarded that ‘Minsk Agreement’ merely as a means to buy time, after their 2014 coup to grab Ukraine ended in disaster, with ‘their’ troops nearly annihilated at Debaltseve. As I wrote previously, I think Zelensky was not informed about NATO’s plan to throw Ukraine under the bus, in order to overextend and unbalance Russia. In Istanbul he came close to settle on a compromise with the Russians, saving his country from death and destruction, and then Boris Johnson shows up in his office, backed by Biden and Stoltenberg, urging him not to sign.
Only recently NATO left Afghanistan after fighting the Taliban for twenty years. And we all remember those scenes of the departure, right? People clinging to the landing gear of transport aircraft, and all the pilots could do was go ‘full throttle’ to avoid running out of runway upon take-off, with those people plunging to their deaths. And a representative of that force is standing before you, promising you a great victory over your well prepared, nuclear armed, determined neighbor. A neighbor which, in Syria, succeeded to push NATO out, towards the border-areas, and which has been showing off state of the art weapon systems even before the war, not even available in the West. How do you convince yourself that, hey, with the help of those clowns, I may pull it off?
Yes, I can see how he may have fooled himself after he accepted NATO’s deal, with the Russians withdrawing, telling himself that the Russians were fleeing, while they were actually preparing for ‘Plan B’, a ‘War of Attrition’, retreating behind the Surovikin line, luring the NATO proxy’s into their trap. He, his generals, and those of NATO commanding this remake of ‘Debaltseve’ should have *known*. What was glaringly absent, were scores of Russian casualties. How did they even miss that? But they did. And here we are. I’d say we take this ‘baby’ off life support, and crash this circus of pretenders.
According to the ‘Financial Times’, Trump wants to ‘impose’ a ‘Minsk III’, with Europe paying for everything. I don’t *know*, but it does not look like the Russians will even consider a ‘Minsk III’, or Trump calling the shots, assuming he’d win the elections. No way the Russians are going to accept a proposal to create some sort of buffer zone using the Donbas as such, which they already incorporated into Russia, granting it some kind of independent status, in exchange of putting NATO-membership for Ukraine on hold till after Putin steps down. That is not going to fly. Not even if the pilots apply ‘full throttle’ from the brakes on a runway as long as that of ‘Area 51’. ‘We’ lost. ‘We’ need to listen, and pay attention. And the Russians are not going to trust ‘us’, or ‘our’ signature, under anything.