Multiple leaders in NATO-countries, and journalists providing the 'accepted narrative' through their papers and television programs, are telling us that victory in our war with Russia is just around the corner. In fact, they've repeated this same message regularly, right from the start of the 'Special Military Operation', two and a half years ago. I didn't think so then, and I do not see any reason to reconsider. Although……..
After the world was hit by a 'bio-warfare product' a couple of years ago, according to Robert F. Kennedy the undisputed result of American money, training and 'Gain-of-Function'-ingenuity, and Chinese production according to 'specs' provided by the puppet-masters in the US, even more ugly surprises are certainly possible. You may remember that the Russians told the UN that they had found multiple biological labs in Ukraine right off the bat, before they withdrew behind the Surovikin line. Nobody paid any attention. And some years ago, the Kremlin sounded the alarm because western 'researchers' were collecting blood samples from Russians specifically, and the Kremlin wanted to know what the purpose of that endeavour might be? Could it be that certain 'agencies' were looking for some modified 'bug' which would target people based on their 'DNA'? Same thing, no traction of that story either. 'Conspiracy Theories', all of them.
So, yes, I too can think of scenarios which could result in the collapse of the Putin government. But for the moment I consider them to be 'exotic'. Certainly after the 'Prigozhin-Challenge'. Which is a weakness of 'Realists', like me. If the NATO-countries are promising Ukraine to support the country 'for as long as it takes', and you witness all the dumb-ass moves and miscalculations, all the lies and spin, all the fairy tales and empty promises, while Ukraine just wasted at least two generations of fine young men, now mobilising the over-55 and the women, making sure not to offend the corrupt elite residing in Kiev, driving around in their latest Ferrari's and Rolls Royce's by asking them to contribute, someone like me can't see how victory might happen. But never say never, right?
Releasing two atom-bombs over Japanese cities was unnecessary according to those who understood that the Japanese were on the verge of surrendering anyway. Others insist that the Japanese would have continued the fight much longer, and that this 'unorthodox' approach was necessary to end the war quickly. It most likely saved my grandfather, who was on the verge of dying in a Japanese prisoner camp, so I've never been too squeamish about that particular decision, without greeting the atom bomb as a great invention. I mention this because any party in an 'existential threat' situation may not be observing common decency, or Treaties, and do what is needed. And though this war is not a threat to the US, or the European NATO-members, it does pose an existential threat to NATO itself. And on these pages I've explained why I feel that no easily recognisable leadership is at the helm of that organisation, and that formal, published command-structures are useless if you want to know who is pulling the strings.
In fact, on multiple occasions I came across contributions on 'X' from 'Higher Ups', or retired 'Chiefs', but not the 'Indians', which had served that organisation in some capacity, which were so completely ludicrous, that I had to laugh. I felt that these people had to know better, or we were Royally screwed. For sure they were committed to spreading propaganda, and given the lack of interest among the general public, they simply had to feel confident that nobody would even notice that they were talking out of the back of their head, right? If they received a reply with a 'Reality Check', they ignored it, and 'everybody' would believe them if they said it was merely 'Russian Misinformation'. But what if these people were no longer in possession of their own brain, since they had been hypnotised collectively? Not in some figurative way, like being under the spell of some inspiring individual, but for real? Is that even possible? To have 'Human Drones' leading the way?
Why even go there? Why would I try to get to the bottom of why these people are displaying a lack of professionalism which is simply incomprehensible? Why did they say the sanctions would topple Putin in no time at all, and then it didn't? Why would they say that the Russians were running out of ammo and everything else, and that the army was struggling with low morale, when the opposite was evident right in front of their very eyes? Were they the early, experimental victims of the 'Ministry of Truth'? Or what?
It is the 'Or what' that triggers these thoughts about some 'hidden truth'. Some 'Secret Weapon'. Some 'Doomsday Smart Ass Invention' they may release to 'Save NATO'. Delivering us to a world where no lie, no fact, no reality is important anymore. Because if that is not the case, what on Earth are these people thinking? What use is it to have a whole army of 'Bagdad Bobs'? Which is why I'm careful with my assessments of where we are 'on the ground'. Back against the wall? Holding on by our finger nails? About to stop the Russian advance and our own horrendous losses? Praying for rain to stop the Russian advance? Or 'planning for victory' because of some wicked plan kept secret? And will that be something to be proud of? Or something to be ashamed of, and to fear ourselves, since it could easily be used against us as well, if we don't toe the line? Being turned into a 'Bagdad Bob' at the blink of an eye. No longer capable to think for ourselves, as we deceive others?
There are so many new, revolutionary techniques 'out there'. For my own analysis I do not take any of the above into account, for obvious reasons. None of it has been 'shown to exist'. So I treat the reports like any other 'Realist', like reports from a 'classic' war. Previously a 'war of attrition', now morphing into a 'war of conquest'. Using all available sources to the best of my knowledge, 'weighing' them to discover 'wishful thinking', to get a sense of where the war is going. The Polish Foreign Minister, Sikorski, who applauded the US after the destruction of Northstream, 'floated' the idea of turning Crimea into a UN protectorate for twenty years, during which period the UN bureaucrats would establish who was eligible to live on the peninsula, and who had to pack their bags. And once they infused Crimea with the 'correct' people, a referendum would be held to decide whether the selected citizens wanted to be part of Ukraine, or Russia. Where do all these 'Oxford Chums' get their 'talking points'? Peskov, responding, suggested to cut up Poland instead, back to being part of Prussia, Silezia, Pomerania, East Brandenburg, and the free city of Dantzig, since all these territories had been turned over to Poland by dictator Stalin, without asking the people anything.
Meanwhile, Sikorski's 'Oxford Chum' Boris Johnson exposed the 'Zelensky Victory Plan' in his old rag where he has been editor in chief, the 'Spectator', merely to take credit for it. It calls for allowing Ukraine to hit Russia as it sees fit, with every weapon system provided by NATO; to elevate the devastated and utterly corrupt country of Ukraine to become a NATO member immediately, which would be a declaration of war to Russia; and to provide Ukraine with half a trillion Dollars as a 'loan'. As it is, the country cannot service the interest on its outstanding loans, so WTF?!? These people are from another planet, or they had 'chips' installed in their brain to make it possible for them to say these things without being burdened by any kind of logic interfering.
From a 'Realist' perspective, these people are utterly suicidal, or 'Gotham-city residents'. Boris Johnson does look like this 'Penguin' boss in the new HBO-series regularly, moving around in bizarre costumes signalling 'Up Yours!' to anyone expecting him to at least try to look the part. It does reflect this 'Pussy Riot' attitude, 'protesting Putin' by having intercourse in the lobby of a museum attracting entire families, naked, and 'performing' punk-music in a Cathedral. According to an article published in the Guardian, a recently released 'dissident' affiliated with these 'artists' we promote, run by 'MI-6' directly, or indirectly, the collapse of the Putin government will be an almost unremarkable event. One day Putin is still in power, and the next he is gone. Really? And we'll have Boris Johnson as the new Tzar, or what?
Scotty, beam me up!