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An essay about skating on thin ice

Im Westen Nichts Neues’, the hugely successful anti-war novel by the author Erich Maria Remarque, published in 1929, did nothing to prevent another World War ten years later. But it may have had an impact on ‘military thinking’, since the Germans tried to avoid wars of attrition, introducing the ‘Blitzkrieg’-concept in its place. Using ‘overwhelming’ military force, and ruthlessness, to advance quickly. To force Holland to surrender, they firebombed the city of Rotterdam, and said other cities were to follow if the government didn’t wave a white flag. ‘Terror-tactics’ which worked fairly well against tiny countries like Holland, until they got bogged down in Russia. And when the ‘Red Army’ defeated the Germans at Stalingrad, it was the decisive moment in the entire war. Afraid that the Russians would end up on the shorelines of the Atlantic Ocean and the North Sea, becoming the continental superpower the Britains feared the most, the Western allied forces were compelled to launch their own offensive. If Churchill would have been in charge of these emerging NATO-forces, he would have turned on their allies from the east, to finish Hitler’s dream, conquering Russia. 

 

In ‘Popular-History’ in our Western part of the world this animosity towards Russia was because of ‘communism’, but scholars point out that within the United Kingdom there had always been this idea of the ‘Great Game’, between a naval power, with extensive colonies, and unfathomable ambitions to become the World Hegemon, and a ‘continental’ opposition. And nothing has changed, which is why we have this proxy-war on the territory of Ukraine. You do not need to ‘read between the lines’ to identify the virulent hatred, stemming from irrational fear, towards Russia and China, teaming up to ‘defeat’ the ‘AngloSaxons’ and their coattail bearers in the EU. On these pages I pointed out previously that Churchill and his ilk didn’t really object to Hitler as such, and they financed his plans, while negotiating secret treaties with the Nazi’s, since they wanted him to go to war and defeat the Soviet Union for them. What eventually freaked them out was this Molotov-Von Ribbentrop Pact. All of a sudden they had this horrible feeling that the joke was on them. Which is why they hurriedly, and woefully unprepared, jumped into a war with Germany. Rudolf Hess, sent to Britain as a German envoy to save the ‘silent alliance’ which we all remember from the ‘Peace in Our Time’ folly which undid Chamberlain, didn’t achieve anything, and he died in prison in Berlin, in British custody, kept isolated from the outside world. 

 

Interestingly, the introduction of the ‘Blitzkrieg’, and large scale ‘manoeuvre warfare’, was settled upon as the only viable strategy for warfare between ‘standing armies’. Even more so after the US got bogged down in Vietnam, fighting an ‘inferior’ opponent, from an ‘establishment’ military point of view, while the Korean War wasn’t a huge success either. Returning to ‘trench warfare’, the type of war that inspired Remarque, and reintroduced by Russia in its war with NATO on Ukrainian soil, is now proving to be a wildly successful strategy to exhaust the enemy, because NATO is lacking the ‘Industrial Base’ to stay in the race. Or so it looks like to me, and various other observers. No ‘Big Arrow’ offensives, but massive amounts of artillery, bombs and missiles raining down on Ukrainian positions and depots, day in, day out. Already ‘everybody’ is talking about depleted inventories on the side of NATO/Ukraine, while the ‘kill ratio’ is rumored to be six to seven Ukrainians killed versus one Russian soldier. Obviously disputed in the West, despite ‘leaks’ revealing that the Ukrainian losses are huge. I have no way of telling you who is telling the truth, but several military experts point out that you only need to look at the number of artillery shells fired by both parties, and which party still has an Air Force, and considerable naval power, frequently firing impressive salvo’s of guided missiles, to understand that the Ukrainians are bleeding white, not Russia.

 

The big debate now is whether this ‘bought and paid for’ Spring Offensive Ukraine promised NATO is still viable. Brian Berletic is warning his viewers that it is going to happen sooner or later, and not necessarily where the ‘experts’ are expecting this offensive to take place, and that Ukraine may appear to be wildly successful initially, only to be crushed a little later, as they hit those well prepared fortifications Russia has built, while mobile forces which allowed them to pass initially, close the door behind them, and ‘swallow them whole’. There is no doubt in my mind that this is why the Russians prepared all these fortifications, and trained all those fresh troops for months, and I do understand why Ukraine/NATO is counting on a backlash in the support in Russia for the way this war is conducted, hoping that it will lead to turmoil in Moscow, and subsequent ‘Regime Change’, before the crushing can be shown as a brilliant strategy, minimizing losses, and maximizing gains, since an exhausted army with nothing left but broomsticks and their fists, is bound to come to the negotiating table. Meanwhile, Russia isn’t exactly sitting back, polishing its nails while waiting for this Spring Offensive to kick off. They are daily destroying weapon systems, including S-300 launchers and recently delivered Western equipment, some of it before it reaches the front lines, in depots and on trains, as well as formations of troops preparing for battle in places like Pavlograd, nowhere near the front, using missiles launched from strategic bombers stationed in Murmansk, and ships sailing in the Caspian Sea, or submerged in the Black Sea. 

 

Now, what happens if Ukraine understands that ‘jumping in’ will be suicide? Remember that I offered as my point of view, that NATO doesn’t mind whether that offensive is successful, or not. If it is successful, great! If it isn’t, and Russia has to take care of all of Ukraine, since the country turned itself into a basket case, great! Because then they can ‘bleed Russia white’ with these ‘Stay Behind Forces’ doing an ‘Al Qaeda’-style terrorist strategy, as originally envisioned. Remember? Russia was supposed to do a ‘Blitzkrieg’, and Ukraine wasn’t going to last a week. Either way, Russia loses, or so is their thinking, if you accept my line of thought. There is the option of Russia winning, but taking only what it wanted, and leaving the rest for the vultures. However, that would leave them with Poland doing a ‘land grab’, becoming their next door neighbor. Not a pleasant thought, since Poland is already crawling with ‘AngloSaxon’ military units, and is actively looking for a fight. Zelensky and his team coming to terms with the fact that they have been ‘played’ by NATO, may do a ‘von Ribbentrop’, and settle for a brokered peace through Chinese intervention. That would scare the living daylight out the ‘AngloSaxons’ for sure! Zelensky is skating on thin ice. History has shown that the ‘AngloSaxons’ value their ‘Great Game’ above anything breathing.

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